Abstract:
The social-economic benefits of tourism development are unequivocal and it
needs more attention. In recent times, it has gained a prominent role in the
development process, particularly in the tourism potential regions all over the world.
Tourism has become an integral part of a system and its functions influence all the
sub systems of the system, such as, physical, social, economic, ecology, environment,
infrastructure and institutions. The tourism development plan has thus requires to be
prepared by considering all the subsystems of the system, such that it functions as a
catalyst in the development process in the tourism resource rich regions. In this
present investigation, tourism has been considered as an important function, which
influence and also get influenced by the various sub systems of the system.
Having the aforesaid knowledge, the region confined between the coastal and
flood plains of a lesser known Orissa State, located in the East coast of India having
lot of resources for tourism development is considered in this present investigation for
evolving plausible guidelines in order to achieve viable tourism development in the
region such that it shall function as a catalyst in the total development of the system.
An extensive field and literature survey were conducted and relevant data
pertaining to socio- economic, industrial and tourism conditions of the system were
collected and suitable quantitative techniques are employed to understand the socio
economic and tourism conditions of the system. In this regard, a through reviewof the
available literatures and analysis reveals that the conventional methods of analysis
have many limitations, and fast becoming inadequate to serve the complexities that
require in forecasting the future scenarios. Many Scholars have explored various
techniques and methods of analysis for evolving development plans and observed that
application of System Dynamics Theory and Models are one of the most suitable
techniques available for understanding the functions of the system, which is essential
for planning process. Therefore, System Dynamics models have been developed
based on System concept and employed in this present investigation, to understand
the functions of various sub systems of the system (study area) by considering the
most important control parameters, which influence the functions of the system.
Long-range projections are made to understand the demand and supply of the most
important infrastructures, which influence tourism development and the system as a
whole for the year 2031 A.D. Further, various socio-economic, infrastructural and
environmental indicators have been measured, and different scenarios under
alternative conditions are generated and tested in the model to understand the system
functions. Finally, a set of plausible policy guidelines is prepared by considering
phase wise achievements and requirements in alternative conditions and
recommendations are made for tourism development along with total development of
the system.