Abstract:
A combination of perspectives from physics, engineering and economics creates a
blind spot that masks the human elements in decision-making that is critical in energy use
and technology choice. As a consequence, hardware interventions continue to encounter
puzzling institutional barriers, irrational consumers and other market failures that blunt their
effectiveness. The scientists, designers, planners, energy policy makers and field level
strategists must therefore understand the human and social worlds into which the
technological devices must fit in. Acontinuous and progressive growth in innovating better
products or refining and extending earlier applications lies in linking product design,
development and intervention efforts to the conscious and subconscious perceptions of the
target groups. Thus, public involvement and consumer perceptions become vital in
designing structures and systems to alter the energy scenario of the nation. Such
investigations should adopt a multidisciplinary approach, incorporating perceptions from
psychological, social, technical, economic and other dimensions. Additionally, apart from
statistical uncertainties, it will be beneficial to include the fuzzy nature of human thinking.
The models should reflect the subconscious, intuitive and qualitative natures of the mental
maps, as well possess the quantitative nature for mathematical computations.
The Irrigation Pumping Adequacy (IPA) measure is developed in this study to
capture the decision-making in the purchase and use of agricultural pump-sets, taking into
account the above considerations. The IPA is a qualitative-cum-quantitative index, and is
reflective of the farmers' satisfaction, or level of adequacy, with the pumps they are using.
This has consequences for the agriculture as well as energy sectors, since irrigation
consumes a large proportion of the energy used in agriculture. Such an investigation will
also provide inputs in understanding and influencing the energy technology choice
behaviour amongst farmers, and the methodology will be useful in designing and
developing alternative technologies for complementing and supplementing the existing
energy systems. Any technology that is perceived as similarly adequate for irrigation
pumping should be acceptable to farmers.
As a case study, the decision-making of farmers for irrigation pumping operations in
Hardwar district (India) is investigated.
OBJECTIVES
With the above background in mind, the following objectives are framed for the
study:
1. To determine the perceptual dimensions which govern the purchase and use of
agricultural pump-sets.
2. To conceptualize and evaluate qualitative-cum-quantitative measures as indices
capturing the decision-making in the purchase and use of agricultural pump-sets.
3. To determine the preferential order in the choice of agricultural pump-sets.
4. To examine the effect of background variables on the perceived dimensions governing
the purchase and use of agricultural pump-sets.
5. To offer suggestions which could have important policy implications.
METHODOLOGY
Study Area and Sampling Design:
Keeping the above objectives in view, Hardwar district is purposively selected for
the present study since it provides a suitable farming environment and has agriculture as one
of its primary economic activities; is well irrigated by both canal and groundwater; and also
because of its location, accessibility and constraints of the researcher. Three types of pumps,
namely electric, diesel and tractor pumps, are being used by the farmers for irrigation
pumping in the region. The primary data required for the study is collected from two types
of farms: those irrigated by groundwater alone, and those irrigated by both groundwater and
canal water (conjunctive). For this purpose, multi-stage stratified random sampling method
is employed. The total sample size consists of 306 respondents, with equal numbers being
taken from those using electric, diesel or tractor pumps; and from the three types of farmers
(small, medium, and large).
Data Analysis:
Forty-eight items incorporating economic, socio-psychological, reliability,
institutional, availability and other considerations are identified. These items are separated
into three panels of 16 items each (financial, operational and miscellaneous). Each panel is
subjected to principal components analysis (PCA) to expose the dimensional structure of the
perceptions affecting purchase and use of irrigation pumps. This is executed for each of the
three energy technologies being used in the region (electric, diesel and tractor) and also for
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the overall situation. Fuzzy membership functions are assigned to the response data to
generate the Irrigation Pumping Adequacy measures that act as the qualitative-cumquantitative
indices. Discriminant analyses are carried out to specifically identify which
variables affect the relative choice of one technology over another.
MAJOR FINDINGS AND DEDUCTIONS
The major findings and deductions emerging from the study are the following:
The greatest degree of variation in the data is explained by recurring costs. This is
followed by capital financing strength, and then by loans and subsidies. All these are the
financial factors that farmers consider while making choices of the pumping systems, and
are reflective of the cost barriers to adoption that any new and innovative pumping
technologies must overcome for wide acceptance and diffusion. General functioning,
personal ease, water efflux, repairs, and resource availability and reliability are the five
factors emerging in the operational panel; while sundry criteria, availability, society and
community, and technical and external influences are the dimensions constituting the
miscellaneous panel.
It is seen that large farmers are more satisfied on repairs, as is evident from the
positive and significant coefficient between repairs and irrigated area. On the other hand,
perceived repairs are negatively related with depth of groundwater, and more attention has
to be paid to repairs and maintenance of tubewells as the depth increases. First hand pumps
show a significant positive relationship with the overall satisfaction measure as the
dependent variable. They are seen to function better, are easier to operate, and require lesser
repairs. Horsepower is negatively related to most of the factors wherever significant -
except to personal ease, water efflux, and resource availability and reliability, where the
relationship is positive and significant. The farmers do not like investing in higher
horsepower pumps, yet they go for higher HP motors to ensure timely and sufficient
quantities of water for the crops. Cumulatively, the overall perceptions are positively and
significantly influenced by area under irrigation, presence of surface irrigation, pumps
bought being first hand; and negatively and significantly related to horsepower of the pump.
Thus, farmers with larger land areas, farmers using conjunctive means of irrigation and
those possessing first hand pumps find their irrigation pumping technologies to be more
adequate than others in meeting their irrigation requirements.
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Operational panel is perceived to be most adequate and satisfactory amongst the
panels. Financial adequacy is the least satisfactory in the hierarchy. Amongst the
operational factors, water efflux, with water output, discharge rate and horse power of the
pump as its constituent items, has the highest satisfaction rating. The next step down the
ladder is occupied by personal ease. Along with personal ease, repairs are also perceived to
be easily available, affordable and highly satisfactory.
In general, perceptual variables are more important discriminators than the
background variables in the relative choice of pumping technologies. Recurring costs is the
most important variable differentiating between the choice of electric and diesel pumps, and
the second most important variable discriminating between electric and tractor pumping
systems. Electric pumps have the most favourable IPA on recurring costs. The current flat
rate regime is regarded as an important motivator in the purchase and use of electric pumpsets,
and the electric farmers perceive the current system as very appropriate. However, the
owners of electric pump-sets have to pay 'additional costs' to lubricate and speed up the
sanction and commissioning of the power supply, and to ensure speedy repairs in case of
breakdowns. Electric farmers are also least satisfied with the resource availability and
reliability of electric supply. The supply of electricity is unreliable, and poor in quality and
quantity.
Society and community discussions are valuable when purchase of tractors versus
electric pumps is contemplated. In particular, tractors are perceived to be most adequate on
water efflux, and thus are preferred over both the electric and diesel pumps on this
parameter. Discriminant analysis results show that farmers with greater degree of
confidence over their capital financing strength and better access to loans and subsidies can
get motivated to purchase tractors over electric pumps. However, personal ease is the most
important factor that favours the choice of tractors over diesel pump-sets.
Electric pumps are preferred over diesel pumps for drawing water from greater
depths, and for irrigating larger areas as their marginal costs are nil. Diesel pumps are
preferred in places where smaller areas are to be irrigated and groundwater depth is lower.
Fuzzy measures show similar results as that derived from a numerical approach.
Visual thinkers may prefer to interpret the results by taking a mental note of the fuzzy
numbers as per their personal mental maps, while non-visual thinkers may find the
defuzzified or numeric results more appealing.
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RECOMMENDATIONS
The study makes the following recommendations:
Energy policy and planning, design of technological devices, and strategic
intervention management should emerge from an extensive consultative process with the
target groups. The consultation and feedback should generate a set of norms against which
the current and future technologies can be evaluated. Consumers' perceptions should be
incorporated and operational adequacy models applied to elicit information about the
current technologies in vogue. After the demonstration stages of new technologies, users'
perceptions about them should be evaluated, compared and ranked with that of the
technologies currently deployed. An intensive thrust to propagation should be given only
when the new systems are perceived better than the existing ones.
The operational adequacy models leave sufficient leeway to conform to the natural
styles of the decision-makers and should be resorted to at various levels of decision-making.
The presentation of the results through IPAs and OAMs, as fuzzy numbers, is naturally
comfortable for the visual thinkers amongst the experts, while the defuzzified values are
convenient to the non-visual thinkers. Powerful computer based tools and decision-support
systems can be developed to compare the IPAs of different pumping technologies, and
utilized during the formulation and implementation ofplans and policies.
Amongst the pumping devices currently in operation, electric pumps are perceived
to be most satisfactory and have the highest irrigation pumping adequacy measure.
However, they are plagued with uncertainties associated with the quality and quantity of
supply, along with the difficulties in procurement of connections. Reforms and better
management of the electricity sector may bring about much needed improvements in this
area.
Canal irrigation should be made feasible wherever possible, as conjunctive irrigation
is perceived to be more adequate than just groundwater irrigation. Since society and
community also play a role, attempts for training and education should aim to influence the
farmers as special groups. NGOs, community based organisations and panchayati raj
institutions may be involved in the programmes.
Finally, the study recommends that future developments of pumping devices must
consciously incorporate the role of ergonomics, which can play avaluable part in designing
systems that are easy to handle and operate, and are also aesthetically appealing.