Abstract:
This study mainly focuses on dam breach analysis of Nalgad Hydro-Power dam. Nalgad
Hydro-Power Dam is a concrete faced rock-fill dam with clay core of 200 m height and
546 m length and designed to generate hydroelectric power, which has crucial part in
development of Nepal. The results of dam breach analysis are useful in minimizing the
loss of life and properties due to likely dam break flood in the event of failure. In Nepal,
there is no law existing and practice of studying dam break floods, and thus, this study
is perhaps the first for Nepal. This work focusses on predicting the breach outflow
hydrograph of Nalgad Hydro dam and its routing through downstream valley employing
a computer software for determination of consequences of dam failure. The computer
program of U.S. Army Corps of Engineers HEC-RAS 5.05 software models such floods
in two ways namely 1-D and 2-D. In 1-D dam breach flood analysis, the essential
parameters involved in reservoir and river routing techniques were estimated manually
externally. Dam breach parameters include time of failure of breach, side slope of
breach, bottom breach width, manning roughness coefficient, shape of breach and
boundary condition. The unsteady hydraulics of the dam breach due to overtopping
failure mode was modeled using 1-D approach. The model results show a peak flow of
140350.40 m3/s at the dam site for overtopping mode of failure and it is 39.84 times
greater than PMF of 3523 m3/s. The attenuation of discharge from head to tail is 27.07%
and the peak discharge reaches the tail end, at 47.66 km, after 1.1 hour of attaining peak
discharge at distance 0.51 km d/s of dam.
To route the downstream valley both hydrologic and hydraulic routings were
undertaken. Hydrologic routing employs the continuity equation and an analytical or an
empirical relationship between storage within the reach and discharge at the end
whereas hydraulic routing employs the continuity equation and both energy and
momentum balances to calculate open channel flow profiles. 1-D dam break scenario is
further compared with two other 1-D scenarios namely natural flow, i.e. no dam case
and without dam break case. All the results computed by dam break case is higher than
other two cases but time of arrival of peak discharge. The arrival time of peak natural
flood computed by HEC-RAS 1-D model is 6 hour, 6.10 hour, 6.30 hour, 6.4 hour, 6.4
hour, 7.30 hour, 8.40 hour, 9.20 hour, 10.22 hour and 11 hour at the selected distance
0.51 km, 1..98 km, 11.31 km, 12.84 km, 14.37 km, 22.91 km, 31.63 km, 35.59 km,
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43.12 km and 47.66 km d/s respectively. Similarly, the arrival time of dam break peak
flood is 7.2 hour, 7.2 hour, 7.3 hour, 7.4 hour, 7.4 hour, 7.5 hour, 8 hour, 8.10, hour,
8.20 hour 8.30 at the same selected distance. This shows that the arrival time computed
in natural flood case is earlier than the dam break flood case. up to distance 22.91 km
(at station no. 24875.10). After this distance, the arrival time of dam break flood is
earlier than the natural flood case.
Flood plain mapping for the downstream reach of Nalgad Hydro Dam was performed
using maximum water surface elevations on the XS cut lines, within the limits of the
bounding polygon and flow affected settlement area is found with help of remote
sensing and GIS. The sensitivity analysis was performed using time of failure, bottom
breach width, side slope of beach and relative effect of one parameter on the resulting
peak discharge. The model results show that breach formation time is more sensitive
than bottom breach width and side slope of breach.In 2-D analysis, the peak hydrograph
of the first station from dam axis computed by 1-D is given as u/s boundary condition
and friction slope of tail end reach is given as d/s boundary condition and then model is
allowed to simulate unsteady flow. The computed peak discharge varies from 140001
m3/s to 102600 m3/s, i.e. the attenuation of discharge from head to tail is 26.71% and
the peak discharge reaches the tail end, i.e. at 47.66 km after 2 hours of attaining peak
discharge at distance 0.51 km d/s.
When river flows in steep slope up to distance 14.36 km, the flow affected settlement
area computed by 1-D is slightly higher than 2-D and also water depth is decreasing
gradually but after 14.36 km, when river meets flatter slope, the flow affected settlement
area computed by 2-D is higher than 1-D. The total flood affected settlement area
computed by 1-D is 3.16 km2, and by 2-D it is 4.3 km2 which is 35.13 % higher than
computed by 1-D. The depth of water computed by 2-D is abruptly increasing in flatter
slope at distance 22.91 km and 47.66 km from dam axis which is not reliable. Hence,
for steep reaches 1-D model performs better than 2-D. Steep streams are gravity driven
and have small overbanks. It means rivers and flood plains where the dominant flow
directions and forces follow the general river flow path. Such type of nature of river is
obtained in hilly zone and in such cases 1-D modeling is preferable.