dc.description.abstract |
Energy is ability to do work or to bring about changes. Energy exist in many forms, such as heat,
light, chemical and electrical energy. Cities are the engines of economic growth. However,
energy is the basic input required for making the cities as engines of economic growth. The cities
consume more quantity of energy, produce more output and thereby, pave the wave for economic
development. Similarly, the country, which consume more quantity of energy, shows more
progress in economic growth and development, whereas the less developed countries consume
lesser amount of energy and produce lesser amount of output and there by confined within the
basket of the less developed countries. A wide disparity is observed between energy consumption
and economic development among various countries in the world. The richest 20 per cent of the
world's population consume 55 per cent of the world's total final energy and the rest 80 per cent
of the global population use only the leftover 45 percent of final energy, which shows that the
richest countries consume huge quantity of energy compared to the less developed countries and
remains as rich countries.
The energy situation in different states of India is having similar character of rich and poor
countries energy position across the globe. The developed states in India are having different
countries compared to the developing states; pertain to electricity generation from various
sources; energy consumption, application of technology in energy generation and energy
consumption; application of different appliances at household level, which consume electrical
energy in particular and other energy sources in general since it is purely associated with the
economic strength. Further, the same phenomena is percolated at the grassroots level, like in
cities, in towns and even in villages in different states. Jaipur City, the study area, is not an
exceptional one in this regard. Therefore, Jaipur City is chosen for conducting the present
investigation.
The investigator studied the energy situation in Jaipur City, held discussion with experts in
energy management at the city level; Scientists those who are working in the field of energy
management in different laboratories and schools; administrative officers, who deal energy and
its associated activities in Jaipur City, and thereby understood the magnitude of the problems
pertaining to energy management in the study area. Thereafter extensive amount of literature
pertaining to energy scene in different places of the country, overall scene in India, and energy
scene in different parts of the globe; energy scene in national level, regional level and global
level have been studied to understand various aspects of energy management, and thereby by
research gap in field of energy management is identified. The present investigation aims at to
evolve a plausible energy management model in Jaipur City, which is much useful for achieving
integrated and sustainable development. This investigation required upto date data at the
grassroots level to understand the behaviour of the system in the study area. Having this
requirement, a research schedule was prepared based on the aims and objectives of the
investigation, pretested at the grassroots level in the study area, modified the schedule in
accordance with the requirement, and further used the schedule to conduct the survey in the
chosen 684 households by employing appropriate sampling techniques in the study area. The
data collected at the grassroots level by employing the schedules are vetted to avoid the biasness,
errors, etc., and transferred the data into code sheets, subsequently to the computer for analysis.
SPSS and Excel Software are used for tabulation, correlation and multiple regression analysis
and also doing graphical analysis. STELLA software is employed to develop to mathematical
models by employing System Dynamic Techniques. Multiple regression models and system
dynamic models are developed in this present investigation and employed to understand the
association between the variables, and also to understand to behaviour of the system in different
alternative conditions by considering energy as the catalyst for the development of the system.
At the outset, the control parameters which decide the functions of the system are identified by
employing multiple regression technique, and thereafter the same control parameters are
employed along with few other variables to develop the energy management model by employing
system dynamic technique. The developed energy management model was validated, used for
forecasting, and thereby projected year model was developed for the year 2031 A.D.
Subsequently, various scenarios were developed and tested in the projected year model to
understand the functions of the system in different alternative conditions. A scenario, which
yielded good results among all the tested scenarios is selected for further analysis, and a set of
policy guidelines (energy management model) is evolved and recommended for achieving
integrated and sustainable development of the system. |
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